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2012-04-04T15:26:24Z

Things are coming full circle for Rick Santorum: he started out the GOP presidential race largely ignored, even Dangerfieldian, and constantly complaining about the lack press coverage. Now everybody from Politico to the New Yorker is arguing (correctly) that he can't stop Romney's delegate race for the party nomination. The candidate has already written off the Romney-loving Drudge Report (for good reason) and the house organ of the establishment GOP is ignoring him too. From Walter Shapiro at CJR's Swing State Project, after watching 10 hours of Fox News yesterday:

I can understand why the show’s producers were irresistibly attracted to a fun-never-stops Romney video of the candidate in Wisconsin being punked on April Fool’s Day by being led into an empty room for a speech. The on-screen Chyron for the Romney segment read, “A GOOD SPORT.” But during the two hours of the show most likely to be watched in Wisconsin (which is on Central Time), the only extended discussion of Santorum came courtesy of conservative firebrand Ann Coulter, a Romney supporter. Coulter appeared on set armed with poison-tipped talking points: “Rick Santorum is not the most conservative candidate in the race…. Rick Santorum voted six times to re-fund the National Endowment for the Arts…. This is not Ford versus Reagan; if anything, Romney is closer to Reagan.” Small wonder that host Steve Doocy said archly at the end of the segment, “She’s for Mitt Romney, can you tell?”

Even Esquire has teed up the former Pa senator for a running kick of the Fratelli Rosettis to the groin: "Some nice cowboy boots, a decent navy blazer, a safe checked shirt — and the worst pair of jeans that has ever been seen on a man's legs in America," this guy wrote of the ensemble above. No big deal though, as Petrus is aligned with GQ anyway.

Pennsylvania remains his last home, though the atmosphere was pretty down at his event north of Pittsburgh last night, and even close friends like state Sen. Jake Corman are saying a Pa loss would probably mean the end to his bid. He has three long weeks to go before he can possibly hope to gain some momentum going forth into Texas, and has no choice but to keep guaranteeing victory in his home state. While he could have been much, much harsher to Santorum under the circumstances, F&M politics guru Terry Madonna also gets a swing of the loafer at the candidate's chances, in a column called "Santorum's Last Stand":

Santorum’s rise and fall carries with it enough paradox to launch a Russian novel or two. It’s hard to miss the irony that a campaign beginning in a defeat for reelection to the senate six years ago could end with another defeat six years later in the same state. Perhaps the supreme twist, though, is that Pennsylvania’s chronically late voting Republicans may finally get a primary that matters.Enigmatically however, they get it only by dumping the first Pennsylvanian to seriously run for president in almost half a century.

The Romney camp is in a great situation in Pa, meanwhile, where a win should knock Santorum out of the race but a loss wouldn't be a big deal either. Its superior organization should be able to count on the balance of the state's 72 undesignated delegates anyway. From Kit Seelye at the NYT:

The Romney team is lowering its own prospects for Pennsylvania while raising the bar for Mr. Santorum.

“We expect Senator Santorum to win Pennsylvania,” said Russ Schriefer, a top media strategist for Mr. Romney. “After all, it is his home state, and much like Governor Romney won Massachusetts with over 70 percent and Speaker Gingrich won Georgia with 47 percent, you’d expect that Santorum would win there. That said, Governor Romney looks forward to campaigning in Pennsylvania and competing for delegates.”

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2012-04-04T14:32:06Z

The GOP state Senate primary between Mark Mustio and D. Raja is rivaling the bitter internecine Democratic battle between Jason Altmire and Mark Critz as the toughest primary in the state, let along the Pittsburgh region.

Following up on a TV ad on Raja's business practices at his Scott tech firm, the Mustio camp has released the mail piece above going over the same territory. There is nothing wrong with the attack facts, but it's interesting for directly tracking the outsourcing attacks made by Democrat Rich Fitzgerald in the county executive race last fall, down to the sourcing from the same 2005 magazine story. One gets the impression from the Raja camp that they don't like the tone of either attack, which was something heard last fall too.

The Raja camp has gone negative too -- just as it did early in last year's race. PoliticsPa tracked down an ad below knocking Mustio for his vote in favor of the 2005 pay raise and for collecting the per-diems allotted to lawmakers. Again, that's old ground but odd to hear in a race between two Republicans. (GOP activist Sue Means is also in the race.)

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2012-04-04T13:40:09Z

With the three week presidential primary run toward the April 24 Pennsylvania primary starting today (with both Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum holding events across the state), the Obama camp's press secretary and its Pa director are out with a campaign memo previewing its attacks on Romney, the all-but-assured GOP nominee.

It says in part:

Pennsylvania voters know that Romney and the Republicans’ records of outsourcing jobs, turning their backs on the sick and uninsured, rolling back women’s access to health care, cutting taxes for the wealthiest at the expense of the middle class, and asking taxpayers to pay for billions of dollars in Big Oil subsidies while they made record profits will take the state and country in the wrong direction.

While the Republican candidates and their supporters are dumping an unprecedented amount of special interest money to sway the election, the Obama campaign is investing in a grassroots movement that is organizing in every corner of the country. While the Republicans are descending on Pennsylvania today, we have been busy reaching out one-by-one to voters to discuss what is at stake in November. In fact, this evening we will open our 14^th campaign office in Pennsylvania.

Romney has a speech in DC today before heading to the Philly burbs tonight and Harrisburg tomorrow. Santorum has events today in Carnegie, Altoona and Mechanicsburg. (PoliticsPa has a nice running presidential event schedule here.)

The latest Q poll in Pa has Obama beating Romney and Santorum by 3 to 7 points respectively.

The full Pennsylvania memo from the Obama camp is after the jump:

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2012-04-03T18:10:26Z

With his sentencing weeks away, Rep. Bill DeWeese took to the House floor today to bid farewell to the chamber where he has served for more than three decades.

DeWeese, a Democratic former speaker of the House, has continued to represent Greene County after his convictions in February on five felony corruption charges, but the law prevents him from continuing after he is sentenced on April 24. The House meets this week for the last time before that day, also the date of primary elections this year.

Standing on the chamber floor, DeWeese waxed as eloquent as ever, citing Samuel Johnson, Jack Benny and Augustine and drawing laughter from both sides of the aisle.

He referred only glancingly to the circumstances that will force his departure from the House.

"We are all, I think, endeavoring to do our best," he said. "Mistakes are made, and that's where this humility comes in. Now I'm not as humble as I want to be, but I'm a lot more humble than I used to be."

Having promised at the outset to speak of gratitude and humility, he continued, "That's pretty much that part of the speech," prompting laughter and applause from the lawmakers.

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2012-04-03T15:12:33Z

Even though he may lose in all three of today's primaries -- increasing pressure from establishment Mitt Romney forces that he drop from the presidential race -- Rick Santorum has seemed anything but stressed lately. Instead he's been treating Wisconsin like spring break, writes Chris Moody at Yahoo News:

This is how Santorum spent much of his time in Wisconsin in the days leading up to Tuesday's primary. In the week before the election here, he lugged his campaign team to seven bowling alleys, playing at least 150 frames. And when he wasn't bowling, he played other games. Santorum enjoyed a round of shuffle board at a restaurant in Green Bay; he tossed bocce balls with a group of strangers before a major speech in Milwaukee; he threw around a football at Lambeau Field and hit golf balls behind a country club in Mishicot before a rally. In Chippewa Falls on Friday, he gave an address on a sand volleyball court next to a tiki bar.

. . . As for the beer Santorum mentioned, he had plenty. (Always in moderation -- he usually ordered sample sizes.) On a nearly daily basis, Santorum downed a brew during lunch, and opened up to Wisconsinites about the alcohol he drank with his family growing up. "We had alcoholic beverages at home," Santorum said out of the blue while speaking to Republicans at an Eau Claire call center for Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who is facing a recall challenge.

"We had wine for dinner and was just sort of part of our culture, and I think a lot of people in this community can relate to that," he told reporters later.

The Rooster, who'll be at the Sheraton in Marshall tonight, may need the sauce now that a third straight poll has shown his lead slipping in his native Pennsylvania. Between the lines, his celebration of beer and wine drinking also says: I'm not Mormon!!!

Going into Holy Week back here in Pa -- where we expect campaigning to idle a bit by the end of the week -- he's also differentiating himself from his GOP rival's massive wealth and questioning whether there's some funny business regarding his blind trusts. From Jonathan Karl at ABC:

Cleta Mitchell, a Washington, D.C. election lawyer who has done legal work for Rick Santorum’s campaign, said it would be hard to explain how Romney’s independent investment fund would orchestrate a $1 million investment with his son’s firm without violating the terms of a standard blind trust — terms that typically prohibit communication with family members.

“What you’re saying to the government is, I don’t have any control over this, my spouse doesn’t, and neither do my dependent children,” Mitchell said. “The filer says, ‘I don’t know what’s in it. I just get income from it.’”

Yesterday the Santorum camp released a tough new ad tying Romney to Obama, but the WashPost dismisses it with four Pinnochios.The ad "takes only 30 seconds to throw just about everything, including the kitchen sink, at his chief rival," their fact-check says.

Photo: Rick Santorum bowls in Platteville, Wis. (Jae C. Hong/AP)

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2012-04-03T13:37:13Z

As Laura Olson told us here Friday, a right-wing anti-incumbent Houston group called the Campaign For Primary Accountability has pledged to spend $200,000 in adverstising to challenge U.S. Rep. Tim Murphy's credentials, and thereby help his tea party-aligned primary opponent Evan Feinberg. The ad is above. Following a script it used successfully in a similar race in Cincinnati, the group resurfaces former campaign ethics questions about the Upper St. Clair Republican and votes on earmarks and debt spending, over a graphic of a sinking cargo ship. "It's time to end Murphy's cruise," the spot says.

The independent group's ad (found here at its "Retire Murphy" site) does not mention Feinberg, a former aide to senators Tom Coburn and Rand Paul who moved back to the South Hills to take on Murphy. Like previous ads from the Club For Growth they are focused only on taking down the four-term incumbent.

Murphy, who took over much of Rick Santorum's congressional district after he moved to the Senate, is scheduled to appear with the presidential candidate at an event on gas prices tomorrow morning in Irwin. UPDATE 2:30 PM: The 11 a.m. event is no longer on Santorum's public schedule.

UPDATE: PoliticsPa has the response from Murphy campaign manager James Genovese:

"It's unfortunate this Superpac, working to elect liberals like Dennis Kucinich, is now misleading voters on Murphy's record of fighting against the radical policies of the Obama Administration. National Right to Life, the NRA, the US Chamber, over 40 local endorsements and most importantly voters throughout Southwestern Pennsylvania are part of Team Murphy and we appreciate all their support. We trust the voters will continue supporting the Congressman's efforts to repeal Obamacare, save the 911th, keep the EPA from shutting down Southwestern PA energy, and grow jobs in our local manufacturing base."

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2012-04-03T13:18:47Z

Rick Santorum leads Mitt Romney in Pa by only 6 points, just ahead of the 4 point margin of error in the latest Quinnipiac poll. The state's primary is 3 weeks away, and this is the third poll in a row to show Romney gaining on the Pennsylvania native (one of which led Santorum to call a leading Pa pollster, Terry Madonna, a "hack.")

From the main site:

Pennsylvania native Rick Santorum holds an edge over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney among likely voters in the Keystone State in the race to become the Republican presidential candidate, a poll released this morning shows.

Mr. Santorum has a 41-35 percent lead over Mr. Romney in Pennsylvania, according to the Quinnipiac University poll.

Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul has 10 percent and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich follows with 7 percent.

But 6 percent of likely voters remain undecided and 37 percent of those who name a candidate say they still could change their mind before the April 24 primary, the independent poll says.

"The Keystone State is critical for Sen. Rick Santorum, the native son who must win to reasonably continue the race for the presidency," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Pennsylvania is a critical swing state, so the Republican primary winner wants to make a good showing in April to bolster chances for success in November."

The latest polls in the state shows Mr. Santorum leading Mr. Romney, 43-33 percent among men, while women split, favoring Mr. Santorum by only 39-38 percent. Mr. Santorum also leads 53-24 percent among white evangelical Christians, 50-32 percent among Tea Party members and 48-30 percent among self-described conservatives. Mr. Romney is ahead, 45-29 percent, among self-described moderates.

From March 27 through Sunday, Quinnipiac University surveyed 647 likely Repub1ican primary voters in the state with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

See the full results here.

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2012-04-02T15:55:00Z

State lawmakers are back in session for three days this week, before they head home to make their final electoral pushes before the April 24 primary.

We highlighted three items up for consideration this week:

- Karen Langley is an hour and a half into a House committee meeting this morning, where lawmakers are debating a proposal aimed at closing the Delaware tax loophole.

- A bill to narrow significantly the number of publicly funded construction projects that must pay workers the "prevailing wage" is on the House docket, notes Tom Barnes.

- And House Speaker Sam Smith's proposal to reduce the number of lawmakers on the House floor in a decade by 50 also could see a vote, though it would require approval again next session and by the voters.

Meanwhile, the hottest gossip surrounds a pending proposal from the Corbett administration to hire a private consultant to run the day-to-day operations of the state lottery system.

Proponents say that plan, on which top lawmakers and labor union officials were briefed but has not yet been officially unveiled, would give the state more money in the coming years for seniors programs.

The chosen consultant likely would be required to pay an upfront fee, as well as guarantee the state a certain percentage during the following contract years.

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2012-04-02T15:23:45Z

An eastern Pa tea party group -- the Independence Hall Tea Party PAC -- is endorsing Tom Smith in the GOP primary race to take on U.S. Sen. Bob Casey. The group said the former Democrat and coal company owner has an appealing personal story, can gather votes from Democrats and independents, and has the ability to self-fund the race. Smith himself was a tea partier at home in Armstrong County.

The tea party nod follows that of Citizens United, which last week released poll results showing Smith leading the race by 7 points but with nearly 50% undecided.

Smith came in second to GOP opponent and former state Rep. Sam Rohrer in a straw poll last month at the Pennsylvania Leadership Conference, and PPP had the same findings in their last survey of Republican voters. A lot of undecideds remain in the under-the-radar race, which also includes veterans advocate David Christian, Harrisburg lawyer Marc Scaringi and Chester County businessman Steve Welch.

Welch -- who won the official party endorsement with help from Gov. Tom Corbett -- has been last in most polls and went on TV last week to raise his profile.

The full statement from the tea party group is after the jump:

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2012-04-02T14:22:27Z

So much for Rick Santorum taking it easy.

The GOP establishment is closing ranks and calling for an end to the presidential primary -- and Santorum has sent mixed messages, as usual, about his intentions -- but a rough new negative ad about Mitt Romney signals he's battling to the end. The ad (above) starts with a picture of Obama and mentions health care reform, support of cap-and-trade and tax increases, then ends with the following line over a picture of Romney: "One more thing: what if I told you the man I'm talking about isn't him, it's him."

How rough is he? He's even taking on the dean of Pennsylvania pollsters and political experts, Terry Madonna of Franklin & Marshall, for having the gall to say his poll numbers are down in his former home state. The WashPost catches up with Santorum's appearance yesterday on Fox News Sunday:

“First off, the Democratic hack that does that, Terry Madonna, has probably singularly gotten more polls wrong than any person I know in the history of the state,” Santorum said Sunday. “There are two other polls that are out this week that have us up 20 and I think the other is 17. This is a pollster who just — I think he just draws numbers out of a hat sometimes. We feel very good about Pennsylvania. We’re going to do exceptionally well there.”

So don't you dare say Santorum may lose the Pennsylvania beauty contest in three weeks. Back on Fox again this morning he "absolutely" guaranteed a win in the April 24 primary. (GOP12) And his spokesman reiterated to CNN that they're staying in the race through Tampa. That may be harder to believe if Romney scores a blowout win in Wisconsin tomorrow. He also looks to lose in Maryland and D.C. (where he's not even on the ballot.)

Locals looking to see Santorum in Mars Tuesday or Irwin Wednesday (with U.S. Rep. Tim Murphy) or Altoona can get the details after the jump: