The pro-Romney SuperPAC Restore Our Future is going up in Pa and other swing states tomorrow with an ad hitting the incumbent on the economy and campaign tactics. It's also playing in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin according to Politico.

We haven't seen any buys yet in Pittsburgh, but have in Philadelphia and Harrisburg.

It's the first Pa buy by Restore Our Future since the week of June 25-July 1, according to the WashPost ad tracker.

Ad transcript:

Another month. Even more Americans jobless. If you had President Obama's record, what would you do? Would you Joke? [President Obama: "Shovel ready was not as...shovel ready as we expected"]. Deny reality? [President Obama: "We tried our plan and it worked"]. Even insist? [President Obama: "The private sector is doing fine"]. Or do what Obama's allies are doing now. Launch "Shameful" "Dishonest" attacks. With no record to run on, it's the only strategy Obama has left.

Romney, Ryan

Mary Altaffer/Associated Press

Mitt Romney is due to start his public day tomorrow at a coal mine in Beallsville, Ohio -- about 35 miles southwest of of Wheeling -- as part of a 3-stop Appalachian tour.

Paul Ryan is back home in Wisconsin but here's a roundup of Pennsylvania reaction from the P-G's Len Barcousky, who talks to Tim Murphy, Melissa Hart and others about the conservative Republican's VP credentials.

Statements from others below.

US Rep. Mark Critz, D-Johnstown:

“Congressman Paul Ryan is the architect of a budget that would have disastrous consequences for Pennsylvania’s seniors which is strongly supported by Keith Rothfus. The Rothfus/Ryan budget will end Medicare by turning it into a voucher program that will cost seniors $6,400 more per year for their health care – all so millionaires can get more tax cuts.

The difference in this race is that I will fight to protect and strengthen Medicare while Keith Rothfus and Paul Ryan want to end it all so the wealthy can get richer.”

PA GOP chair Rob Gleason:

“I congratulate Paul Ryan on being selected to join Mitt Romney on the Republican Presidential ticket. Pennsylvanians will be well served by a Romney-Ryan team in White House that can finally shut the door on President Obama’s four years of high unemployment, out-of-control spending, and usher a new era of American prosperity. Pennsylvania will be first in line to send Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan to the White House when we deliver our 20 electoral votes this November.

“Quite simply, President Obama has failed. The unemployment rate has now been above 8 percent for 42 straight months. Friday’s jobs report illustrates how Obama has failed to fix the economy and meet his own standards: He promised his massive $831 billion stimulus would create millions of jobs and bring unemployment down to around 5.5 percent by today. Most staggering of all, the real unemployment rate is 15 percent!  That means that 15 percent of Americans either can’t find a job, full-time work or have given up even trying to find a job.  That is this President’s legacy and the reason Pennsylvanians are going to vote for the Romney-Ryan ticket.”

PA18 Democratic candidate Larry Maggi of Washington County:

“If Paul Ryan and Tim Murphy have their way, seniors will pay $6,000 more per year in out-of-pocket Medicare expenses while giving the average millionaire a $394,000 tax break.  Congress is taking the wrong approach.  To create new jobs and get our economy back on track, we need to cut wasteful spending—not on the backs of seniors and the middle-class."

Allegheny County Democratic chair Nancy Mills:

“Mitt Romney’s choice of Paul Ryan for VP solidifies the message they have been sending to Allegheny County’s working families and seniors; you’re on your own."

US Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Allentown:

“I am thrilled that Governor Romney has chosen Paul Ryan as his running mate. In doing so, Gov. Romney has made the clearest, most unequivocal statement he could make that he intends his campaign and his presidency to be about solving America's greatest challenges.

”Congressman Ryan is one of Congress' strongest voices advocating for economic growth through free enterprise and fiscal sense through controlling spending. I'm delighted we have a Romney-Ryan ticket.”

Former Gov. Tom Ridge, R-Erie:

"Paul Ryan is an outstanding VP choice. A President Romney and Vice President Ryan will mean that my children and their generation will have a better future with principled leaders who will confront America's challenges with action, integrity and resolve.”

Pittsburgh Mayor Luke Ravenstahl, D-North Side:

"While President Obama has worked tirelessly to ensure that all Americans have a fair shot, Mitt Romney’s choice of Congressman Paul Ryan farther cements his out-of-touch vision for America. Romney and Ryan would pass a tax cut for the wealthiest Americans that would be paid for by the middle class. Further, Ryan was the chief architect of a budget that would annihilate America’s investment in education, Medicare and other programs that help residents of Pittsburgh get a fair shot. Simply put, President Obama will continue to take our country forward while Romney and Ryan would be America’s Go Back Team."

Good morning.

This week looks to be dominated by voter ID and Romney-Ryan. Commonwealth Court Judge Robert Simpson is set to release his decision on the ID bill sometime this week, and legal/voting experts around the country (and in the Dept of Justice) will be watching intently. From Karen Langley:

Some election law experts around the country are watching existing and potential challenges to the Pennsylvania law, staying aprised of the state's acknowledgement that it knows of no cases of in-person voter fraud and discussing through email details of the Department of Justice letter. Some said that even if the Justice Department does object to the law under the Voting Rights Act, it is highly unlikely to do so before the November elections, instead watching for the conclusion of a challenge in state court. The judge in that case has said he expects to rule in the coming week.

A project of college journalism students across the country and based at the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University looked for documented evidence of election-day voter fraud nationwide and found it to be "virtually nonexistent":

A new nationwide analysis of more than 2,000 cases of alleged election fraud over the past dozen years shows that in-person voter impersonation on Election Day, which has prompted 37 state legislatures to enact or consider tougher voter ID laws, was virtually nonexistent.

The analysis of 2,068 reported fraud cases by News21, a Carnegie-Knight investigative reporting project, found 10 cases of alleged in-person voter impersonation since 2000.

With 146 million registered voters in the United States, those represent about one for every 15 million prospective voters.

The News21 report is based on a national public-records search in which reporters sent thousands of requests to elections officers in all 50 states, asking for every case of alleged fraudulent activity -- including registration fraud; absentee-ballot fraud; vote buying; false election counts; campaign fraud; the casting of ballots by ineligible voters, such as felons and noncitizens; double voting; and voter impersonation.

Tom Infield at the Inquirer profiled Judge Simpson, a Democrat turned Republican. Clergy in Philly rallied against the voter ID bill last night.

Next up we'll do a roundup of Paul Ryan VP reactions.

To repeat, the pro-Obama SuperPAC ad where a laid-off steelworker links his wife's death to Mitt Romney's former equity firm Bain Capital still hasn't been broadcast in commercial time in Pennsylvania or anywhere else. But people are still watching it online, many of them here in Pa.

From the NYT:

Bill Burton, one of the founders of Priorities USA Action, acknowledged that the ad had indeed never been broadcast. But all that free media attention has helped it chalk up nearly half-a-million views online, according to YouTube.

More important for Mr. Burton and his super PAC, however, may be where the ad is being watched. Of the top five states where people are watching the ad, one is California — often in the top because of the size of the state. A reliably Democratic state in presidential elections, California is not a focus of either the Romney or Obama campaign.

But the other four are: Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia.

According to Mr. Burton, who said the ad will eventually run on television, it has been watched by 48,979 people in Florida; 28,473 people in Pennsylvania; 23,739 people in Ohio and 22,887 people in Virginia.

All eyes will be on Commonwealth Court Judge Robert Simpson starting Monday as the state awaits his decision on the voter ID challenge sometime during the week. Til then . . .

Atlantic Cities studies the unique voter ID problems facing Philadelphia, where transit-riding elderly voters have little in common with Republicans or anybody else in much more rural parts of the state:

Herein lies the unique quandary in Philadelphia. It is a large, left-leaning city, with the public transportation system of an old Northeastern metro area built in the era before cars. But it happens, right now, to be located in a state with a Republican-controlled legislature. There are plenty of older cities in America where large numbers of people might not have driver's licenses. But most of those cities, as Gaskins points out, are in solidly blue states where it's highly unlikely that voter ID laws would pass in the first place. This is also true of places like Chicago, San Francisco, and Seattle.

Look, instead, at the nine other states that the Brennan Center studied: Alabama, Kansas, Mississippi, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, and Wisconsin. The Northeastern States (Rhode Island and New Hampshire) don't have major cities on the scale of Philadelphia, and they both have high driver's license penetration. And the states outside of the Northeast (particularly Sun Belt states like Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas) are home to new, auto-oriented cities where it's much harder to get by without a car.

Philadelphia happens to sit at the crux of these unusual demographics, as a Democratic city where you don't need a car in a Republican state (for now). Of course, to further heighten the stakes, it's also in a political battleground for 2012. These dynamics don't just play out between Philadelphia and the rest of the state, but between Philadelphia proper and its suburbs.

We already knew Democratic PA18 congressional candidate Larry Maggi of Washington County is on the state's no-ID list. In looking further into it the Observer-Reporter notes even the county's election director, Larry Spahr, is on the list for having a stray middle initial.

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