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Early Returns Archives

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  • Sam the candidate

    Rep. Sam Roher will court votes in his opponent’s political back yard Thursday accompanied by Joe Wurzelbacher, aka Joe the Plumber, the blue collar Ohioan transformed into a political icon by Sen. John McCain repeated references in the final debate o...
  • More on Mollohan

    Sorry about the lack of posts today. Computer problems plus a deadline on the Alan Mollohan race in WVa have kept us busy. Speaking of Mollohan, here's Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight: Regardless of its national implications, this is a costly loss for ...
  • Rendell: invading Ohio

    From Tom Barnes: HARRISBURG -- Everybody knows it will be difficult, if not impossible, to reduce the size of the 203-member state House and the 50-member Senate. It would take a constitutional change, which takes about three years at least, since it...
  • DSCC funds Specter ad

    The Specter-Obama ad that began running yesterday is being funded by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, says Greg Sargent at the WashPost's Plum Line blog: It's not surprising that national Dems would seek to protect incumbents. But the spendi...
  • Post: Pgh gay activists shun Specter

    The WashPost's Paul Kane has a nice story today -- currently the most-viewed article on the newspaper's site -- on following Specter around Pittsburgh last weekend: With many of his Republican colleagues taking heat from the right in their renomination b...
  • Toomey trains fire on Sestak

    Republican Pat Toomey, who can mostly chill out and watch the Democratic Senate candidates wail on each other in the lead-up to the May 18 primary, has twice in the past two days put out statements attacking Rep. Joe Sestak -- an apparent sign of Sestak...
  • Sestak in Pgh Saturday

    Joe Sestak returns to Lawrenceville this weekend for one last rally. From his campaign: WHAT: Pittsburgh for Sestak RallyWHO: Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Joe SestakWHEN: Saturday, May 15 at 1 PM WHERE: Leslie Park, 46th Street & Butler Street, P...
  • Specter thanks county "Republicans"

    Arlen Specter twice tripped up and thanked Allegheny County "Republicans" during remarks in Pittsburgh last night, Politico reports: PITTSBURGH – The first time Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.) slipped up here Tuesday night at the Allegheny County Democratic...
  • NYT: Obama wary of embarrassment

    The NYT's Adam Nagourney weighs in on the Sestak -Specter race: And while the White House has backed Mr. Specter in the primary, making good on a pledge made when he switched parties just over a year ago, Mr. Obama seems unlikely to make a campaign vis...
  • Mollohan loses bid for 15th term

    Look out incumbents and look out fellow coal-country Democrat Mark Critz. Alan Mollohan -- as we've warned here at Early Returns -- got crushed last night in the West Virginia primary, getting beat out by conservative Democrat Mike Oliverio. Here's the W...
  • Polls show Senate dead heat

    The Quinnipiac and F&M polls out today show a dead heat between Joe Sestak and Arlen Specter. From the AP: The Quinnipiac University survey gives Mr. Specter a 44 percent to 42 percent edge. The sampling error margin is 3.2 percentage points. Fourteen pe...
  • Specter: Indy run a better move?

    With his poll numbers stuck in the 40s and a lot of Democratic voters looking like they don't want to vote for him, might it have been better move to run as an independent, rather than a Democrat? That's the question from Steve Kornacki at Salon: Doing ...
  • Ad: "I can't afford to feed my cat"

    It's a good bet that most Western Pennsylvanians have no idea who Chet Beiler and Jim Cawley are -- they're Republicans running for Lt. Gov. -- but who cares. Get a load of this actual, real-life TV advertisement: As long ...
  • Huber ad hits back at Kelly

    In response to a Mike Kelly attack ad last week, fellow GOP 3rd District candidate Paul Huber launches his own volley, hitting Kelly for supporting a tax increase as a Butler city councilman and not paying his property taxes on time: {youtube}7shxzREOxRs...
  • F&M says Sestak up 5 too

    A third polling organization -- and maybe a fourth? -- will say tomorrow that Joe Sestak is up 5 over Arlen Specter. Muhlenberg and Rasmussen have already had Sestak pulling ahead of his Dem rival. From Greg Sargent at the WashPost's Plum Line blog: Tom...
  • Bill Clinton to stump for Critz

    Bill Clinton will be in Johnstown this weekend to stump for Mark Critz, just as he did for Jack Murtha in the last weekend of his tough 2008 campaign. From the Critz camp: Former President Bill Clinton to Campaign with Mark Critz in JohnstownJohnstow...
  • Burns loans self another $155K

    Going into the home stretch of his nationally anticipated special election fight in the 12th District, Republican businessman Tim Burns has pumped another $155,000 into his campaign, according to a financial update it filed yesterday. The loan, forwarded...
  • Obama ad tracks Bush '04 ad

    TPM has a clever post noting that the new Obama commercial Arlen Specter unveiled this morning is a lot like the one he broadcast in 2004, starring George W. Bush. (The latter being the one Sestak is using to such great effect in his main attack ad.) Here...
  • Specter has cash advantage

    Arlen Specter may have lost his lead in the polls, but he continues to be far ahead of Joe Sestak in fundraising. The Senate pre-primary reports are finally online, and the Specter camp reported getting $305,000 from April 1 through April 28; spending $3...
  • Final push in 12th

    The Tribune-Democrat's Mike Faher has a nice state-of-the-12th-District-special story here, with a wrapup on fundraising and a reminder of Scott Brown's rally with Tim Burns on Friday. On the spending: While initial pre-election reports late last week s...