Barack Obama holds an 11-point lead over Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania in the new Quinnipiac/New York Times swing state poll, leading him 53-42%. The incumbent leads by smaller margins in Ohio and Florida.
Here's Q's breakdown of Pa numbers
Pennsylvania women voters back Obama 59 – 35 percent, while men go 50 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Independent voters back Obama 58 – 36 percent.
Among Obama voters, 59 percent strongly favor him while 33 percent like him with reservations and 7 percent say their vote is against Romney.
Among Romney voters, 41 percent strongly favor him while 37 percent like him with reservations and 22 percent say they are voting against Obama.
Obama has a 53 – 42 percent favorability rating, while Romney has a negative 39 – 47 percent favorability rating.
The economy is the most important issue in the election for 54 percent of Pennsylvania voters, with 20 percent who pick health care and 8 percent who cite the budget deficit. Obama would do a better job on the economy than Romney, Pennsylvania likely voters say 48 – 44 percent. The president is better on health care, voters say 51 – 41 percent.
Obama's policies would hurt rather than help them, Pennsylvania voters say 37 – 23 percent, while 37 percent see no difference. Romney would hurt rather than help, voters say 32 – 26 percent, while 37 percent see no difference.
Presidential candidates should release several years of tax returns, 54 percent of voters say; 17 percent want to see one or two years of returns and 25 percent say don't release returns.
The poll also looks at numbers in the Casey-Smith Senate race, and Tom Corbett's approval rating:
In Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Robert Casey Jr. leads coal mine owner Tom Smith, the Republican challenger, 55 – 37 percent, with a 61 – 33 percent lead among independent voters.
Pennsylvania voters disapprove 45 – 38 percent of the job Gov. Tom Corbett is doing.
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